Trying to Predict the 2022 Elections

From The Poynter Report with Tom Jones:

We are now one month away from the midterm elections and predicting what’s going to happen is like predicting which way a butterfly will go in a tornado.

At this moment, most polls show Republicans taking over the House, while the Senate could go either way. (Politico’s Steven Shepard has a good breakdown of how the key Senate races are shaping up.)

But who knows? For example, even when a candidate is hit with an avalanche of bad stories (see: Herschel Walker), it somehow turns into an equally overwhelming avalanche of public support and donations.